It is estimated that the global service robot market will reach 45 billion US dollars in 2017, and the compound annual growth rate will be 16.19% in the next five years (2017-2021). The global service robot market will reach 82 billion US dollars in 2021.
On March 21, 2016, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance jointly issued the "Robot Industry Development Plan (2016-2020)". Together with the “Technical Roadmap for Key Areas of China Manufacturing 2025â€, the “Development Plan†constitutes the blueprint for the development of the Chinese robot industry.
As a mass consumer product serving humanity, service robots are expected to provide new economic growth points and driving forces for the development of the national economy. This is also an important reason for Japan, South Korea and other countries to vigorously develop service robots.
(two) medical robotWith the rapid development of the robot industry, medical robots are highly concerned by countries. The United States has identified surgical treatment robots, prosthetic robots, rehabilitation robots, psychological rehabilitation assisted robots, personal care robots, and intelligent health monitoring systems as the six research directions for future development. At present, Europe also plans to establish a "RoboTIcsforHealth-care" network to promote the development and application of medical robots in Europe.
At present, the penetration rate of medical robots in major hospitals is relatively low. Moreover, the medical equipment in the middle and high-end market is almost covered by foreign manufacturers, accounting for more than 70%, and the future import substitution space is larger.
(3) Aging society and services for the disabledAt present, China's population over 60 years old has exceeded 10% of the total population. The aging population problem will become an unprecedented new challenge facing China. In addition, the proportion of disabled people in China is among the highest in the world. In the near future, the care of the elderly and the disabled will become an important burden for the society. A large number of nursing robots are needed to provide services such as taking, feeding, and turning books to help and care for the daily lives of the elderly and the disabled. To improve the quality of their lives, thereby reducing the need for the number and quality of caregivers throughout society.
(4) Educational robotThe demand for educational robots in education will form a huge market. Today, the promotion of quality education, general education, and research-based university models can expand the logical thinking ability of young people through the promotion of educational robot courses, through hands-on assembly and programming practice. This new educational model of education and learning has become a teenager. Effective means and tools for high-tech education. At the same time, China's overall objective situation is increasingly demanding preschool education. With the vigorous development of the domestic preschool education market, preschool education and entertainment robots for children aged 3-6 will also have a huge market space.
Second, unfavorable factors (1) insufficient independent research and development capabilitiesIn terms of cutting-edge technology and key technologies, most of China's tracking research, lack of creative ideas and original results; in terms of integration technology, although China can achieve prototype integration, but in terms of key components and reliability, it is different from foreign countries 5-10 In terms of design and manufacturing technology, China's product design, materials and process technology, system integration level and foreign countries have a large gap.
(2) Technical bottleneckService robots still have bottlenecks that have not yet broken through key technologies. The core technologies of service robots include human-computer interaction, navigation and path planning, multi-robot coordination, artificial intelligence, cloud computing, etc., specifically related to voice, semantics, processors, algorithms, communications, big data, cloud networking, etc. Autonomy, adaptability, and intelligence.
(3) Dissection of production, study and researchThe research of service robots in China is mainly concentrated in universities and a few research institutes. The innovation ability of new product design and manufacturing is limited, and the phenomenon of disconnection between industry, education and research is more serious.
(4) Industry standards are not standardizedChina lacks industry standards and certification standards for robots, which in turn leads to vicious competition at low prices. On the one hand, enterprises lack uniform physical security, functional safety, information security and other normative indicators when designing products. When the technology is not mature, they will be listed first, resulting in uneven quality of domestic robot products. On the other hand, the industry has low barriers to entry. If the product positioning is not identified, it will be blindly invested, ignoring technology research and development, and the products will be mainly assembled, resulting in a large number of low-end production capacity.
2017-2021 global service robot market size forecastBased on the above factors, we expect that the global service robot market will reach US$45 billion in 2017, and the compound annual growth rate will be 16.19% in the next five years (2017-2021). The global service robot market will reach 820 in 2021. One hundred million U.S. dollars.
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